Mean-variance hedging per titoli obbligazionari

Francesca Biagini - Università di Bologna


In the general theory for the interest rate structure the market is assumed to be complete. On the contrary, if the bond's dynamics is given by the following equation:

$dP(t,T)=P(t,T)(\mu(t,\eta)dt+\sigma(t,\eta)dW_t)$

\noindent where $W_t$ is a standard brownian motion (possibly n-dimensional) on $\Omega$ and $\eta\in E$ represents an additional source of randomness, the market is incomplete even in presence of an infinite number of assets. In the terminology of F&"ollmer and Schweizer, the market incompleteness is a result of insufficient information. In this paper, the interest rate structure under stochastic volatility is studied by using the mean-varince hedging and the local risk minimization approach.
The set of equivalent martingale measures is characterized, by exploiting some results of Schweizer (1996), Rheinl&"ander and Schweizer (1997) and of Biagini, Guasoni and Pratelli (1999). Imposing the so-called Heath-Jarrow-Morton in order to have at least one martingale measure, it turns out that it is sufficient to determine both the Minimal Probability and the Variance-Optimal Measure when the volatility matrix is invertible. By using the explicit expressions for the two martingales measures we find the local risk minimizing strategy and the mean-variance optimal strategy for European options on bonds. Several models for the stochastic volatility are analized: the simplest is when the volatility jumps according to a totally inaccessible stopping time and assumes values with a certain probability distribution. The natural extension of the previous example it is the case when the volatility is given by a Markov process and then by a multivariate point process. The mean-variance hedging and the local risk miniming strategies are explicitely computed in the particular case of an option call by using some results of the "change of numéraire" technique by Geman, El Karoui and Rochet (1995).
As a final application, the previous results can be used straightforwardly in order to price and hedge options on futures in the case of incomplete markets.